Best Masters Bets

  • Nov. 10, 2020
  • By Matt Blunt
  • VegasInsider.com

2020 Masters Prop Bets

Get our golf experts' best bets for this week's Genesis Invitational from first round leader to outright winner, outsiders to back and more. 12 different US Masters winners have won 22 of the. Jan 15, 2021 Sunday's games Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 56.5), 3:05 p.m. Schatz: The Chiefs haven't won a game by more than a touchdown since Week 8 against the Jets. Conventional wisdom.

Prop betting at the Masters is always fun because when it's played at the same course every year, guys find things they look for have no problem going back to the well when they are working, and nor should they.

Because the field is constructed the way it is with past champions, amateurs, and course history more important here than really anywhere else, certain players will fall into those groupings every year and picking off the right plays is a puzzle that always makes this week fun.

The overall outright looks of mine can be found here, and any Top 10, or Top 20 plays with any of those names comes with the territory as additional ways to back them. But this piece will be going elsewhere and touching on a bit of something for everyone I hope.

72 Hole Matchups

Rory McIlroy (+110) over Bryson DeChambeau (-139)

Bets

The word is that DeChambeau was pulling some pretty short irons out of the bag for his second shots on all four Par 5's during a practice round, and with the belief of him being able to overpower this course already a prevalent one, the support is understandable.

But at an event where every bit of course history a guy has in his memory bank helps, the fact that Bryson's best finish in his three Masters (21st) is equal to Rory's worst finish in his last six Masters, I'll roll the dice with the plus money.

Not having a gallery can kill any Grand Slam nerves Rory may be feeling, and DeChambeau still has to make good on those short approach shots he's got. His season numbers during the full season last year weren't sharp there, and going down with Rory as a dog is never hard to take.

Adam Hadwin (+110) over Erik Van Rooyen (-137)

There are some interesting matchups out there for the debutants, as looking to find ones to go against is something the process begins with each year. There are some interesting ones out there this year including a past champion in Jordan Spieth a +120 dog vs Matthew Wolff.

But I settled on Hadwin over Van Rooyen here for the price – he's the next biggest dog of the “experienced vs debutants” as I just don't see how you can trust Spieth. If the power narrative turns out to be the biggest thing of this tournament, Wolff should find a way to be involved if his swing sits in the slot.

Van Rooyen and Hadwin are similar in style, but I do believe Hadwin's putting skills combined with the experience edge is worth more than this price suggests. He missed last year's tournament, but finished 24th and 36th in the two years before that.

Like the Rory vs Bryson bet, I don't believe this line gets blown out much at all, and winning it comfortably comes in around 48% on it's own. With the rest of the potential outcomes coming in down-to-the-wire showdowns, the plus-money makes more sense.

Bets

Top 20 Finish

Lee Westwood +225
Francesco Molinari +300

If the experience angle weighs more here than most any other week of the season, finding these prices on a couple of Europeans that have been close here before, but come with warts as well, to at least make another run at one.

Westwood is 47 years young and there just aren't too many guys who have climbed to the top of a Major mountain at that number. But there have been plenty to give it a hell of a run, and Westwood and his resume would fit right into another chapter of that history.

He hasn't played here the past two seasons, but from 2010 through 2017, Westwood had seven finishes inside the Top 18, including five Top 10's. The fact that he played his way back to another crack at Augusta thanks to his 4th place finish at the British Open in Ireland last year has got to make Westwood feel good about where his game is at.

He missed the cut in Houston, but was 13th at the US Open a few months back, and mixed in three Top 20's in four worldwide starts between the US Open and his trip to Houston. Sometimes the Masters fairy tales stories can suck you in, hopefully Westwood is an author of one of those.

Molinari let it slip away on the Back 9 last year and responding to that can be curious, but again I think the no fans helps someone in that spot. He found success at Houston with a T15 in the end, so why not back a guy going for consecutive Top 20's at a 3-1 price. Sure the field is deeper, but if experience turns out to be the edge, I'll like where this play could get.

The Masters Best Bets

Top Spanish Player

  • Jon Rahm -835
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +500
  • Jose Maria Olazabal +3300

Rafa Cabrera-Bello +500

Wanting nothing to do with the senior champions, but with Sergio Garcia out now, I can't help but view this as a head-to-head matchup where I'm getting a Top 100 player in the world at +500. Tough time turning that down.

Sure, it's against one of the best players in the world in Rahm (#2), who's game is built to win here and he's already found success at this tournament before. But Cabrera-Bello still enters the week as the 88th ranked golfer in the world, and that's I've got no problem rolling the dice against Rahm there, especially if he's got to find a way to grind through some early frustration and staying engaged with no crowd to feed off of.

There also aren't any tangible advantages on the course you can really expect RCB to lean on, but I've got to give him credit for being able to win a theoretical head-to-head matchup with Rahm one in five times. Definitely not a bet to loosen the roll for, but one that's worth it to see if you can at least get a sweat.


How to Bet on Golf

Masters

Golf betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.

Sportsbooks ensure that there are no shortage of wagering options on golf tournaments every week, and it isn't all about picking the winner. Grabbing the outright winner of a golf tournament is the best way to get that 'big score' but it's also the hardest wager to cash. After all, a typical professional golf tournament has a field of 140+ different players to consider.

Understanding Golf Odds and Bets

Most golf odds are listed in the fractional format – 10/1 on Dustin Johnson for example – and in that particular case you would multiply the amount bet by that first number to project your winnings. So a $100 bet on DJ to win that particular event would win you $1000.

If you are more comfortable with the American version of odds listings that you typically see across the other major North American sports – ie +1000 – these numbers are easily convertible. Online and app based books may already have that option built in, but the easiest way to do it yourself is to add two zeros to the first number in the fraction. So a 10/1 price on DJ converts to +1000 in that format.

The pinnacle event of the PGA Tour season has arrived at long last as the world’s best arrive at Augusta National Golf Club for the 2020 Masters. In search of the best value bets in the 2020 Masters, we’ll highlight the top tournament matchups, placings and first-round leader (FRL) picks and predictions.

Stream the 2020 Masters on ESPN+, CBS All Access and FUBO. Sign up at those links and don’t miss a shot.

2020 Masters bets: Matchups

Best Masters Bets

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Jason Day (-112) vs. Collin Morikawa

The 23-year-old Morikawa has won twice since the PGA Tour’s mid-June restart, including the PGA Championship in early August. Therefore, Day, a former world No. 1, comes into this head-to-head tournament matchup as a slight underdog. He has had a strong season in his own right, with five top 10s in 15 events since mid-June, including a T-4 at the PGA Championship.

Morikawa is trying to become the first to win the Masters in their first appearance since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. Day has finished inside the top 10 at the Masters four times, including a T-5 last year.

Also see:

2020 Masters Tournament odds, predictions and PGA Tour best betsFantasy Golf Power RankingsBetting odds and predictions for Tiger WoodsHow to bet the 2020 Masters

Bryson DeChambeau vs. Xander Schauffele (+105)

DeChambeau is the tournament betting favorite at +750. After winning the US Open by six strokes, there’s a strong possibility he runs away with this tournament as well. There’s also a chance he struggles on the greens and his added distance fails him on the tight fairways. Hedge an outright bet on DeChambeau by taking the steady Schauffele at plus-money in a head-to-head matchup.

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2020 Masters bets: Placings

Best Masters Bets

Top American: Brooks Koepka (+1000)

Koepka, a four-time major champion, closed with back-to-back rounds of 65 at last week’s Vivint Houston Open to finish in a tie for fifth. It was the second-best finish of any American who competed in the Houston Open and will compete in the Masters. He’s the first golfer in this pool getting a 10-1 return on investment and was a co-runner-up with Dustin Johnson (+550 for Top American) last year.

Top 10: Phil Mickelson (+750)

“Lefty” has started 2-for-2 on the PGA Tour Champions circuit and at 50 years old will look to dethrone Jack Nicklaus (46 years, 82 days) as the oldest Masters winner. Mickelson’s last PGA Tour win was last year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but he was the runner-up at the marquee WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational this summer. He tied for 18th at last year’s Masters and has the distance and short game to still contend here.

Lowest score over 72 holes – Group A: Bryson DeChambeau (+275)

Best Masters Matchup Bets

This is an interesting group given the notable ommission of Koepka. DeChambeau is getting +275 odds against Dustin Johnson (+320), Jon Rahm (+350), Justin Thomas (+400) and Rory McIlroy (+450). None have won the Masters before, and DeChambeau is the most recent major champion.

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Masters Golf Odds

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Best Bets For Masters 2020

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Best Masters Bets 2020

2020 Masters bets: First-round leader

Jordan Spieth (+4000)

Spieth’s struggles over the last couple of years are well documented, yet his betting odds at the Masters remain suppressed as a public favorite. The 2015 Masters champ leads all golfers in the field with an average of 3.38 strokes gained on the field per round at Augusta National, according to Data Golf. He opened with a 75 at the 2019 Masters but broke par in each of the next three rounds en route to a 21st-place finish.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+10000)

Bezuidenhout ranks 106th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings and will be making his debut at Augusta National. One of the greatest tests at the Masters is the ability to block out the large crowds, but that’s not an issue in 2020 with no patrons allowed. It will play to the advantage of Bezuidenhout and all other first-time competitors. He ranked fourth on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting last year with an average of 0.90 per round and could get out to a quick start before the pressure begins to rise.

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Golfweek:

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